
qpWave explained: the rank test, and what it can and cannot count
qpWave asks how many ancestry components populations need relative to a right set. The rank test, cladality checks, and why the count is not a tally of migrations.
Methodology deep-dives, population spotlights, and engineering notes from the Ancestrify team, qpAdm modelling, ancient DNA panels, and how genetic ancestry analysis really works.
24 stories

qpWave asks how many ancestry components populations need relative to a right set. The rank test, cladality checks, and why the count is not a tally of migrations.

Rotation makes qpAdm comparisons fair, not winners true. What the audits found on admixture graphs and landscapes, and why pre-study odds set the error rate.

On simulated admixture graphs, temporal order was the biggest lever on qpAdm false discoveries. On stepping-stone landscapes it was not enough. What each result means.

The number that governs a qpAdm model is never your file's marker count — it is the intersection with the ancient panel, per statistic. The published coverage numbers, the allsnps table, and what a consumer chip can honestly support.

ADMIXTURE and admixture calculators describe structure and always return percentages; qpAdm tests an explicit model and can reject it. What each estimates, why papers run both, and when qpAdm is worth paying for.

qpAdm first appeared in the supplement of the 2015 steppe-migration paper and became the method behind a decade of ancestry headlines. Where it came from, what it settled, and how a decade of stress-testing sharpened its limits.

The fit distance measures how far a mixture still sits from your coordinate — not whether the model is right. Calibrated bands for reading one, why lower stops being better, and the checks that actually validate a model.

Every Global25 row exists in two forms, and mixing them is the hobby's most common silent error. What scaling does mathematically, which form each tool expects, and the tell-tale signs of a mixed comparison.

Adding sources always lowers a G25 fit distance and routinely worsens the model — a worked demonstration where the fit improved from 0.0110 to 0.0068 while the story collapsed. The rules that keep a panel honest.

Global25 is a projection, not a test — so 'accuracy' has layers: the coordinate's own fidelity, the references it is compared against, and the models built on top. An honest audit of all three.

Ger Huijbregts's nMonte turned Global25 rows into ancestry percentages and founded a whole tool tradition. How the Monte-Carlo search works, what nMonte3 changed, what the fit distance is, and the discipline the script never enforces.

What a Global25 PCA projection shows, what the axes are and are not, why plot distance lies, the difference between projecting onto a fixed view and fitting your own — and the honest uses of both.

A Global25 model and a testing company's ethnicity estimate answer different questions with different references and different time depths. What each is actually computing, and which to trust for which claim.

Everything you can do with a Global25 row without paying anyone: distance rankings, admixture fits, PCA plots, averaging, authenticity checks — Vahaduo, nMonte and the Ancestrify Lab, honestly compared.

What a Global25 distance ranking actually measures, why era choice changes everything, how close is 'close', and the four misreadings that turn a good tool into a wrong conclusion.

From the Eurogenes blog's admixture calculators through Global 10 to the 2018 launch of Global25 — why a 25-dimension PCA became the ancestry community's common currency, and what changed around it since.

Every admixture calculator — GEDmatch's classics, Global25 fits, testing-company estimates — is an optimiser that cannot say no. How the three families work, what the percentages mean, and the questions a calculator can and cannot answer.

Which GEDmatch admixture project to run for your background, what each calculator's components mean, why the projects disagree with each other, and what has aged since 2012–2016.

There is no single best admixture calculator — there is a best one per question. An honest decision guide across GEDmatch's classics, Global25 tools and formal methods, from someone who builds one of them.

Accuracy has three different meanings for an ancestry calculator, and the tools do well on exactly one of them. Where percentages are trustworthy, where they are noise, and how to tell which regime you are in.

The same genome scores 44% North European in one calculator and 51% in another. Component anchoring, reference panels, the calculator effect and K explain the spread — and none of the numbers is 'the real one'.

Oracle ranks reference populations by how closely their calculator percentages match yours — not by shared DNA. How the distance is computed, what single and mixed modes tell you, and the misreadings to avoid.

The thirteen K13 components, what North Atlantic, East Med and West Asian are anchored to, who the calculator works best for, how to read the Oracle — and the caveats that come with a 2012-era tool.

What the 36-component Eurogenes calculator can genuinely show, why its regional labels invite over-reading, what a K36 heat map is actually plotting, and when a distance ranking answers the question better.